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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+5.79vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.71+6.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+4.37vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.54+4.55vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.45+3.93vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.42+2.38vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.50+1.91vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51+2.10vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.16+2.61vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.60-1.64vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.60-2.84vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.37-6.57vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.06-2.54vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-5.42vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.76vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.67-4.08vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.01-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Dartmouth College1.9510.0%1st Place
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8.16Webb Institute1.716.5%1st Place
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7.37Boston College1.958.1%1st Place
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8.55Fordham University1.545.2%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College1.455.2%1st Place
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8.38Brown University1.426.3%1st Place
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8.91Fordham University1.506.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University1.513.9%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University1.162.8%1st Place
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8.36Boston College1.606.4%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University1.606.7%1st Place
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5.43Brown University2.3713.4%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont1.062.7%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College1.485.8%1st Place
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11.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.812.6%1st Place
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11.92Bates College0.673.4%1st Place
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10.03Boston University1.015.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Connor Macken | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 18.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Jack Roman | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Emma Wang | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% |
| Ted Lutton | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 21.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.