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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+4.47vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+10.05vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.50+5.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+5.94vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.54+3.57vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.95+1.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16+4.60vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+3.13vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.42-0.41vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.71-1.88vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.60-2.64vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.95-5.03vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.06-2.71vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-5.41vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.01-4.80vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.60-7.69vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.45-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Brown University2.3714.1%1st Place
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12.05Bates College0.672.6%1st Place
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8.88Fordham University1.505.3%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University1.513.6%1st Place
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8.57Fordham University1.546.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston College1.958.7%1st Place
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11.6Tufts University1.162.6%1st Place
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11.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.4%1st Place
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8.59Brown University1.425.1%1st Place
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8.12Webb Institute1.717.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston College1.606.6%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College1.958.6%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.063.4%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College1.486.5%1st Place
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10.2Boston University1.014.2%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University1.606.4%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College1.455.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 22.3% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.2% |
| Emma Wang | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% |
| Connor Macken | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% |
| Jack Roman | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.