← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Vermont2.03+5.40vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.96+1.76vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.08vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.44-1.35vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.14+4.02vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.07+0.39vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.29-1.33vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.16-4.64vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.94vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut1.72-3.48vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island0.41-1.26vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.68-8.21vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.35-5.37vs Predicted
-
17Sacred Heart University-1.00-2.98vs Predicted
-
18Wesleyan University-0.21-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.4University of Vermont2.030.1%1st Place
-
4.76Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
-
6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
3.65Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
-
10.02Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
7.39Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.67Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.36Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
-
7.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
-
8.52University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
-
11.74University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
-
5.79Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
9.63University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
14.02Sacred Heart University-1.000.0%1st Place
-
12.91Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Duncan | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 21.9% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 17.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Reney | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Luke Puk | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 23.7% | 23.9% | 8.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Torkel Knutson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 60.5% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 16.1% | 32.7% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.