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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.16+3.28vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.96+2.78vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.68+2.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07+3.34vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+1.82vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.44-3.36vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.93vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.03-2.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.72-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.41-2.13vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-1.00-3.00vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.21-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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4.78Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.53Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.82Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.64Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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7.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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9.65University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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14.0Sacred Heart University-1.000.0%1st Place
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12.88Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 16.4% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 12.2% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Colin MURPHY | 20.3% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| John Duncan | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Reney | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| William Dykes | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Luke Puk | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 25.9% | 22.5% | 10.8% |
| Torkel Knutson | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 21.5% | 59.7% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 32.2% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.