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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+4.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.16+9.77vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.54+5.54vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.50+4.83vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+3.03vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.01+4.04vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60+1.23vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.95-0.61vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.67+2.99vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.42-1.53vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.45-2.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-2.03vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.06-3.66vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.88vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.95-9.09vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.60-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Brown University2.3714.5%1st Place
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11.77Tufts University1.162.5%1st Place
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8.54Fordham University1.545.9%1st Place
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8.83Fordham University1.505.8%1st Place
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8.03Webb Institute1.716.2%1st Place
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10.04Boston University1.013.7%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University1.606.2%1st Place
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7.39Boston College1.957.5%1st Place
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11.99Bates College0.672.4%1st Place
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8.47Brown University1.426.6%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College1.455.3%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University1.515.1%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College1.486.2%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont1.062.8%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.5%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College1.959.5%1st Place
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8.4Boston College1.606.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 17.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Jack Roman | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 21.3% |
| Connor Macken | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Emma Wang | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.