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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+4.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+5.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.60+5.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.45+4.90vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+3.10vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60+2.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51+2.85vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.06+2.29vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.01+1.25vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.50-0.93vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-4.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.16-0.21vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-1.76vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.42-5.55vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.54-6.41vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.67-4.08vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.48-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Brown University2.3713.8%1st Place
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7.2Boston College1.957.8%1st Place
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8.37Boston College1.606.7%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College1.455.7%1st Place
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8.1Webb Institute1.716.7%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University1.607.5%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University1.514.8%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.064.7%1st Place
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10.25Boston University1.014.0%1st Place
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9.07Fordham University1.504.9%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College1.959.2%1st Place
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11.79Tufts University1.162.1%1st Place
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11.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.3%1st Place
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8.45Brown University1.425.7%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University1.545.4%1st Place
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11.92Bates College0.672.5%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College1.485.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Jack Roman | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 18.1% |
| Emma Wang | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% |
| Connor Macken | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 21.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.