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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.70+7.39vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy3.06+5.10vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.96+7.86vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+1.36vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.80vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University2.71+2.49vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.56-1.33vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-2.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+0.88vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.89-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-5.11vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.97-4.13vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.16vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.1Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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5.36Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.49Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.67Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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7.96Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke O'Connor | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| Blake Burgess | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| John McGlynn | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 9.1% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ian Donahue | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.