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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.40+9.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.70+7.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.08+5.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.71+6.13vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.43+2.11vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.56+1.34vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.72-1.03vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.69+1.60vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.30-2.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.53-3.27vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.67+3.15vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.03-7.00vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.35-5.61vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.94-4.98vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.99-0.14vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.56-6.08vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95Bowdoin College0.402.8%1st Place
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9.84Dartmouth College0.704.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College1.086.6%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University0.713.3%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University1.438.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College1.567.8%1st Place
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5.97Brown University1.7211.7%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University0.694.5%1st Place
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6.93Webb Institute1.307.8%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University1.538.2%1st Place
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14.15Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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5.0Brown University2.0314.8%1st Place
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7.39Boston College1.357.1%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University0.945.1%1st Place
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14.86Fordham University-0.990.5%1st Place
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9.92Boston University0.563.5%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timmy Gee | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Jed Lory | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Simpson | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Owen | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Devon Owen | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 23.8% | 32.8% |
| Martins Atilla | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 19.7% | 46.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.