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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+4.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.35+5.33vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30+3.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.53+2.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.08+3.20vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.70+3.76vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.56+0.43vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.67+6.24vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.71+1.12vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.03-4.99vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.43-3.85vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.56-2.08vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-3.20vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.69-4.23vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.40-4.04vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.94-7.12vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.99-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Brown University1.7211.2%1st Place
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7.33Boston College1.357.8%1st Place
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6.87Webb Institute1.308.0%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University1.538.5%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College1.086.0%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College0.704.5%1st Place
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7.43Boston College1.567.1%1st Place
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14.24Bates College-0.670.9%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University0.713.7%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.0314.5%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University1.437.3%1st Place
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9.92Boston University0.563.6%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.3%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University0.694.7%1st Place
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10.96Bowdoin College0.402.7%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University0.945.5%1st Place
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14.78Fordham University-0.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Simpson | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Devon Owen | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Nick Budington | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 24.8% | 33.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| James Owen | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Timmy Gee | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 4.2% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 19.9% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.