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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.71+8.97vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.69+7.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College0.70+6.80vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.30+2.89vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.08+3.27vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.56+1.24vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.35+0.52vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.56+2.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.89vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.94-1.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.53-4.36vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.72-6.17vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.40-2.10vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.03-9.07vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.43-7.73vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.67-1.82vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.99-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97Tufts University0.713.5%1st Place
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9.84Fordham University0.694.0%1st Place
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9.8Dartmouth College0.703.2%1st Place
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6.89Webb Institute1.308.5%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College1.085.5%1st Place
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7.24Boston College1.567.3%1st Place
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7.52Boston College1.356.3%1st Place
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10.07Boston University0.563.6%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.2%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University0.944.7%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.539.2%1st Place
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5.83Brown University1.7211.8%1st Place
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10.9Bowdoin College0.403.1%1st Place
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4.93Brown University2.0315.0%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University1.438.1%1st Place
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14.18Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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14.8Fordham University-0.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| James Owen | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Nick Budington | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Devon Owen | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Simpson | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Timmy Gee | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
| Martins Atilla | 15.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 22.9% | 34.2% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 19.9% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.