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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.08+7.41vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.30+5.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+2.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.35+3.34vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.69+4.82vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.70+3.51vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.56+0.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.43-0.99vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.94-0.03vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.03-5.01vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.71-0.90vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.53-5.31vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.40-1.89vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.67+0.18vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.56-5.12vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.96vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.99-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Dartmouth College1.086.0%1st Place
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7.01Webb Institute1.308.6%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.7210.7%1st Place
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7.34Boston College1.357.2%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University0.694.0%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College0.704.2%1st Place
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7.21Boston College1.567.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University1.438.2%1st Place
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8.97Roger Williams University0.944.8%1st Place
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4.99Brown University2.0313.6%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University0.713.6%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University1.539.0%1st Place
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11.11Bowdoin College0.402.7%1st Place
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14.18Bates College-0.670.9%1st Place
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9.88Boston University0.564.5%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.1%1st Place
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14.85Fordham University-0.990.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Sheppard | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| James Owen | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Nick Budington | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jed Lory | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Martins Atilla | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Devon Owen | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Timmy Gee | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 33.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 20.8% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.