← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.56+6.18vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.71+8.02vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University0.69+6.94vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University0.94+4.83vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.72+0.81vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.53+0.82vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.43+0.03vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.30-0.95vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College0.70+0.83vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College1.08-1.67vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.03-6.11vs Predicted
-
12Boston College1.35-4.71vs Predicted
-
13Bates College-0.67+1.30vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College0.40-3.22vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.56-5.13vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.85vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University-0.99-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.18Boston College1.567.8%1st Place
-
10.02Tufts University0.714.0%1st Place
-
9.94Fordham University0.693.0%1st Place
-
8.83Roger Williams University0.944.8%1st Place
-
5.81Brown University1.7210.1%1st Place
-
6.82Tufts University1.539.6%1st Place
-
7.03Roger Williams University1.437.5%1st Place
-
7.05Webb Institute1.307.4%1st Place
-
9.83Dartmouth College0.704.0%1st Place
-
8.33Dartmouth College1.085.8%1st Place
-
4.89Brown University2.0316.7%1st Place
-
7.29Boston College1.356.9%1st Place
-
14.3Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
-
10.78Bowdoin College0.402.8%1st Place
-
9.87Boston University0.564.2%1st Place
-
10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.1%1st Place
-
14.9Fordham University-0.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| James Owen | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Devon Owen | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Martins Atilla | 16.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 24.3% | 34.5% |
| Timmy Gee | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 20.5% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.