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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+6.30vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.08+6.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.03+1.98vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+2.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.53+1.75vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.30+0.81vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.71+3.08vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College0.70+1.79vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.35-1.76vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.43-2.95vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.12vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.94-3.04vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.69-3.21vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.56-3.96vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.40-4.15vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.67-1.68vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.99-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Boston College1.567.1%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College1.084.8%1st Place
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4.98Brown University2.0315.2%1st Place
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6.02Brown University1.7211.0%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University1.538.1%1st Place
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6.81Webb Institute1.308.6%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University0.714.0%1st Place
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9.79Dartmouth College0.703.5%1st Place
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7.24Boston College1.358.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University1.438.6%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.2%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University0.945.2%1st Place
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9.79Fordham University0.694.2%1st Place
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10.04Boston University0.563.5%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College0.403.1%1st Place
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14.32Bates College-0.670.5%1st Place
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14.76Fordham University-0.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ben Sheppard | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Martins Atilla | 15.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Devon Owen | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jed Lory | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| James Owen | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Timmy Gee | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 22.2% | 33.7% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 20.3% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.