← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.72+4.94vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.53+4.91vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+6.96vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.08+4.33vs Predicted
-
5Boston College1.35+2.39vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College0.40+4.87vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.03-1.95vs Predicted
-
8Boston College1.56-0.74vs Predicted
-
9Webb Institute1.30-2.11vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.43-3.08vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.56-1.16vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.71-1.92vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University0.94-4.25vs Predicted
-
14Bates College-0.67+0.40vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University0.69-5.36vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College0.70-6.12vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University-0.99-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.94Brown University1.7210.2%1st Place
-
6.91Tufts University1.539.3%1st Place
-
9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.2%1st Place
-
8.33Dartmouth College1.085.5%1st Place
-
7.39Boston College1.357.8%1st Place
-
10.87Bowdoin College0.402.9%1st Place
-
5.05Brown University2.0313.2%1st Place
-
7.26Boston College1.567.3%1st Place
-
6.89Webb Institute1.308.3%1st Place
-
6.92Roger Williams University1.439.1%1st Place
-
9.84Boston University0.563.5%1st Place
-
10.08Tufts University0.713.8%1st Place
-
8.75Roger Williams University0.945.1%1st Place
-
14.4Bates College-0.670.9%1st Place
-
9.64Fordham University0.694.5%1st Place
-
9.88Dartmouth College0.703.5%1st Place
-
14.9Fordham University-0.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Simpson | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Devon Owen | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Timmy Gee | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Martins Atilla | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jed Lory | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 25.1% | 32.9% |
| James Owen | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 19.8% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.