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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.14+3.46vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.67vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+0.98vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.12-0.07vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.41+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.46-0.86vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.52-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.55-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46North Carolina State University-0.1411.5%1st Place
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2.67Clemson University0.7330.9%1st Place
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3.98Duke University0.0613.2%1st Place
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3.93Clemson University0.1214.5%1st Place
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5.37The Citadel-0.417.8%1st Place
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5.14University of North Carolina-0.467.0%1st Place
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5.19Clemson University-0.528.1%1st Place
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6.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.985.8%1st Place
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8.23University of Georgia-2.551.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Richards | 11.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 30.9% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 13.2% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Ashton Loring | 14.5% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Henry Parker | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 5.3% |
| May Proctor | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 4.3% |
| William Avery | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 4.7% |
| Torin Stremlau | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 25.3% | 9.8% |
| Emma Pope | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.