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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.06+2.98vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of Georgia-2.55+5.30vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.12-0.06vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.52+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.46-0.89vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.14-2.50vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98-1.98vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.41-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Duke University0.0614.5%1st Place
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2.65Clemson University0.7332.2%1st Place
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8.3University of Georgia-2.550.8%1st Place
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3.94Clemson University0.1214.8%1st Place
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5.24Clemson University-0.526.4%1st Place
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5.11University of North Carolina-0.468.4%1st Place
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4.5North Carolina State University-0.1410.4%1st Place
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6.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.985.5%1st Place
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5.25The Citadel-0.417.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 32.2% | 23.4% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 74.6% |
| Ashton Loring | 14.8% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| William Avery | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 4.0% |
| May Proctor | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 3.9% |
| John Richards | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 1.3% |
| Torin Stremlau | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 27.0% | 10.1% |
| Henry Parker | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.