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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.33+2.21vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.02+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.92+2.34vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23-0.03vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.58-2.05vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.47-1.34vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.83-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-3.39-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21The Citadel0.3320.5%1st Place
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3.88Clemson University0.0214.5%1st Place
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5.34University of Vermont-0.926.0%1st Place
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3.97Clemson University0.2314.0%1st Place
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2.95Clemson University0.5825.5%1st Place
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4.66North Carolina State University-0.479.9%1st Place
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5.14Duke University-0.837.2%1st Place
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7.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.351.8%1st Place
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8.4University of Georgia-3.390.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tollefson | 20.5% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Antonio Priskich | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Julia Brighton | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 22.7% | 12.7% | 2.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Mason Baird | 25.5% | 22.0% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| Christine Moore | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 48.4% | 23.2% |
| Brigitte Lueder | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 17.1% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.