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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.58+1.89vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.83+3.16vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+0.91vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.02-0.16vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33-1.84vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.47-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.92-1.52vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-3.39-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Clemson University0.5824.6%1st Place
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5.16Duke University-0.836.8%1st Place
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3.91Clemson University0.2314.0%1st Place
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3.84Clemson University0.0215.1%1st Place
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3.16The Citadel0.3322.6%1st Place
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4.65North Carolina State University-0.479.8%1st Place
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5.48University of Vermont-0.925.1%1st Place
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7.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.351.5%1st Place
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8.42University of Georgia-3.390.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 24.6% | 23.6% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 10.2% | 1.4% |
| Rowan Barnes | 14.0% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Antonio Priskich | 15.1% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 22.6% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Julia Brighton | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 13.5% | 2.4% |
| Christine Moore | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 12.7% | 46.2% | 24.1% |
| Brigitte Lueder | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 17.9% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.