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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.40vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.14+2.13vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.81-0.07vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95-1.27vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.33+1.16vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.59-2.70vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.75-3.93vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.99-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.3%1st Place
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5.13Ocean County College1.140.1%1st Place
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3.93Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.73Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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7.16Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.3Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.07Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.28Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 34.6% | 27.4% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Dean S. | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 22.7% | 10.1% |
| Samantha Gebb | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
| Paul Stevens | 14.7% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Laine Meelheim | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 66.6% |
| Domenic Re | 11.2% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 4.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 12.9% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Bennung | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.