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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.59+3.27vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.44vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+0.71vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.81-0.03vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.99-0.59vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.33+0.11vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.75-3.90vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College1.14-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.44Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.3%1st Place
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3.71Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.97Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.41Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
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7.11Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.1Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.99Ocean County College1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Re | 9.6% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 3.7% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 34.3% | 25.2% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 16.4% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Samantha Gebb | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Bennung | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 24.8% | 14.1% |
| Laine Meelheim | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 64.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Dean S. | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.