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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.33+2.12vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.58+0.91vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.02+0.85vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.92+0.33vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.83-0.92vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.47-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12The Citadel0.3321.9%1st Place
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2.91Clemson University0.5825.4%1st Place
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3.85Clemson University0.0214.9%1st Place
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3.91Clemson University0.2314.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Vermont-0.926.2%1st Place
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5.08Duke University-0.836.9%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University-0.479.0%1st Place
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7.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.351.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tollefson | 21.9% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Mason Baird | 25.4% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Antonio Priskich | 14.9% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Rowan Barnes | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Julia Brighton | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 26.5% | 10.9% |
| Ryan Ringel | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 9.5% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 5.6% |
| Christine Moore | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.