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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.58+1.94vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.02+1.84vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.47+1.60vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23-0.10vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.83-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.92-0.68vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33-3.80vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Clemson University0.5825.4%1st Place
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3.84Clemson University0.0215.5%1st Place
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4.6North Carolina State University-0.479.6%1st Place
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3.9Clemson University0.2314.1%1st Place
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4.96Duke University-0.838.2%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont-0.925.6%1st Place
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3.2The Citadel0.3320.2%1st Place
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7.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.351.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 25.4% | 22.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Antonio Priskich | 15.5% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 5.9% |
| Rowan Barnes | 14.1% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Ringel | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 22.6% | 7.6% |
| Julia Brighton | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 25.1% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 20.2% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Christine Moore | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.