← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University1.81+2.87vs Predicted
-
2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.46vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University1.95+0.75vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College1.14+1.13vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University1.59-0.62vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University0.99-0.66vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-0.33-0.88vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University1.75-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
-
2.46Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.3%1st Place
-
3.75Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
-
5.13Ocean County College1.140.1%1st Place
-
4.38Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
-
5.34Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
-
7.12Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
3.95Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gebb | 12.6% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 34.6% | 25.0% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 15.1% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Dean S. | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 22.4% | 10.3% |
| Domenic Re | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 3.9% |
| Rachel Bennung | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 23.1% | 13.5% |
| Laine Meelheim | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 15.8% | 65.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.