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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.33+1.92vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.37+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.21vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.70-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.72vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Bates College-0.3322.4%1st Place
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2.87Middlebury College-0.3723.1%1st Place
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2.79University of New Hampshire-0.3823.1%1st Place
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2.97Bates College-0.7020.8%1st Place
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4.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.427.0%1st Place
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5.18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.393.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 22.4% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 23.1% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Sean Lund | 23.1% | 24.5% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 3.0% |
| Colby Green | 20.8% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 13.5% | 4.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 33.5% | 23.0% |
| Samuel Ott | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 16.9% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.