← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Monmouth University1.95+2.64vs Predicted
-
2Villanova University1.59+2.36vs Predicted
-
3Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-0.54vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College1.14+1.15vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University0.99+0.42vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University1.81-2.10vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-0.33+0.13vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University1.75-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
-
4.36Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
-
2.46Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.3%1st Place
-
5.15Ocean County College1.140.1%1st Place
-
5.42Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
-
3.9Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
-
7.13Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
3.94Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 14.6% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Domenic Re | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 3.4% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 34.6% | 25.5% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Dean S. | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 22.2% | 10.4% |
| Rachel Bennung | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 25.5% | 12.2% |
| Samantha Gebb | 14.1% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
| Laine Meelheim | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 67.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 13.6% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.