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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.38+1.83vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.70+0.93vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37-0.14vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.33-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.69vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of New Hampshire-0.3822.1%1st Place
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2.93Bates College-0.7021.9%1st Place
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2.86Middlebury College-0.3723.6%1st Place
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2.94Bates College-0.3320.8%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.427.7%1st Place
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5.13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.393.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 22.1% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 3.2% |
| Colby Green | 21.9% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 3.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 23.6% | 20.9% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 3.3% |
| Harry Stevenson | 20.8% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 3.6% |
| Andy Giaya | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 32.0% | 25.7% |
| Samuel Ott | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 17.2% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.