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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.33+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.77vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.34vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37-2.06vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Bates College-0.3322.9%1st Place
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2.77University of New Hampshire-0.3825.6%1st Place
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2.92Bates College-0.7022.2%1st Place
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4.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.426.0%1st Place
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2.94Middlebury College-0.3719.9%1st Place
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5.17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.393.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 22.9% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
| Sean Lund | 25.6% | 22.4% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 3.0% |
| Colby Green | 22.2% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 12.4% | 4.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 34.8% | 23.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 19.9% | 21.5% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 12.1% | 3.6% |
| Samuel Ott | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.