← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College-0.33+1.88vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.81vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.70-0.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.29vs Predicted
-
5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39+0.26vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.37-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.88Bates College-0.3321.9%1st Place
-
2.81University of New Hampshire-0.3822.8%1st Place
-
2.93Bates College-0.7022.6%1st Place
-
4.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.426.9%1st Place
-
5.26Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.393.2%1st Place
-
2.83Middlebury College-0.3722.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 21.9% | 21.6% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 3.4% |
| Sean Lund | 22.8% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% |
| Colby Green | 22.6% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 4.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 35.4% | 21.3% |
| Samuel Ott | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 16.0% | 65.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 22.7% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.