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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.59+3.23vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.45vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+0.71vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75+0.08vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.81-1.07vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.14-1.94vs Predicted
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8Penn State University0.99-2.59vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.33-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.45Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.3%1st Place
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3.71Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.08Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.93Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.06Ocean County College1.140.1%1st Place
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5.41Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
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7.12Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Re | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 3.5% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 34.9% | 24.1% | 18.3% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 15.3% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 2.8% |
| Samantha Gebb | 12.4% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 1.8% |
| Dean S. | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 10.7% |
| Rachel Bennung | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 24.5% | 14.8% |
| Laine Meelheim | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 16.0% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.