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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.37+1.85vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.70+1.00vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.33-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-0.82vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Middlebury College-0.3722.4%1st Place
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3.0Bates College-0.7019.0%1st Place
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2.87Bates College-0.3324.2%1st Place
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2.83University of New Hampshire-0.3823.6%1st Place
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4.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.207.8%1st Place
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5.26Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.393.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Weekes | 22.4% | 22.2% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 3.3% |
| Colby Green | 19.0% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 3.9% |
| Harry Stevenson | 24.2% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 3.9% |
| Sean Lund | 23.6% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 3.2% |
| Cole Perra | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 33.2% | 19.9% |
| Samuel Ott | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 15.8% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.