← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Monmouth University1.95+2.45vs Predicted
-
2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.37vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University1.59+1.14vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University1.81-0.21vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University1.75-1.15vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University0.99-0.89vs Predicted
-
8Ocean County College0.20-1.64vs Predicted
-
9Rutgers University-0.33-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
-
2.37Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.4%1st Place
-
4.14Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
-
3.79Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
-
3.85Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.11Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
-
6.36Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
-
6.93Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 16.6% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 36.2% | 24.3% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Re | 11.5% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Gebb | 12.9% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Joan Boyle | 12.1% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bennung | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 9.9% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 28.8% | 32.9% |
| Laine Meelheim | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 26.1% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.