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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.33+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.86vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+0.10vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.70-2.03vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Bates College-0.3321.1%1st Place
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2.86University of New Hampshire-0.3822.9%1st Place
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2.84Middlebury College-0.3722.9%1st Place
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4.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.209.2%1st Place
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2.97Bates College-0.7021.4%1st Place
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5.24Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.392.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 21.1% | 20.7% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 4.3% |
| Sean Lund | 22.9% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 22.9% | 22.4% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 12.3% | 3.2% |
| Cole Perra | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 30.0% | 20.3% |
| Colby Green | 21.4% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Ott | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.