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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.29vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.81+1.74vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.75+0.90vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95-0.43vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59-0.86vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.99-0.92vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.20-0.65vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.33-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.4%1st Place
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3.74Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.9Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.57Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.14Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.08Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.35Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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6.92Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 38.3% | 26.7% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gebb | 13.5% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 13.0% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Paul Stevens | 15.3% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Domenic Re | 9.7% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 6.1% | 5.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 9.8% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 28.7% | 33.0% |
| Laine Meelheim | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 25.3% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.