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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.33+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+2.13vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.700.00vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.15vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39+0.23vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Bates College-0.3320.9%1st Place
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4.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.208.9%1st Place
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3.0Bates College-0.7022.1%1st Place
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2.85University of New Hampshire-0.3822.9%1st Place
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5.23Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.392.9%1st Place
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2.89Middlebury College-0.3722.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 20.9% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 3.5% |
| Cole Perra | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 32.0% | 20.3% |
| Colby Green | 22.1% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 15.2% | 3.8% |
| Sean Lund | 22.9% | 21.3% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 3.3% |
| Samuel Ott | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 65.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 22.4% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.