← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.36vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.81+1.91vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University1.59+1.29vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University0.99+1.33vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University1.75-0.94vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University1.95-2.36vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-0.33-0.90vs Predicted
-
9Ocean County College0.96-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.36Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.4%1st Place
-
3.91Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
-
4.29Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
-
5.33Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
-
4.06Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
-
3.64Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
-
7.1Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
5.3Ocean County College0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 37.2% | 25.6% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gebb | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Domenic Re | 10.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Bennung | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 25.5% | 11.8% |
| Joan Boyle | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Paul Stevens | 15.5% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Laine Meelheim | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 66.2% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 23.7% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.