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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+1.91vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.74+1.44vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.80+0.30vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73-0.52vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72-0.82vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.91-2.21vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.17-1.45vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.10-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.3%1st Place
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3.44Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
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3.3Villanova University1.800.2%1st Place
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3.48Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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5.18Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.79Monmouth University0.910.1%1st Place
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6.55Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.35Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Geary | 25.1% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| John Marzulli | 17.4% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sayre | 20.5% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 17.3% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Jason Sinclair | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 10.4% |
| Christopher Lojek | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 8.6% |
| Charles Herlihy | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 24.7% | 42.5% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 24.6% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.