← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Princeton University1.74+1.35vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University0.91+1.87vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College1.73-0.57vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.72+0.22vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University1.80-2.65vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-0.10-0.63vs Predicted
-
8Penn State University-0.17-1.49vs Predicted
-
9Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
-
4.87Monmouth University0.910.1%1st Place
-
3.43Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
-
5.22Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
-
3.35Villanova University1.800.2%1st Place
-
6.37Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
-
6.51Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
2.9Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Marzulli | 18.0% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Lojek | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 7.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 18.6% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Jason Sinclair | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 11.6% |
| Andrew Sayre | 18.0% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 24.0% | 35.8% |
| Charles Herlihy | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 23.8% | 41.9% |
| Christian Geary | 25.3% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.