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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ocean County College1.73+1.35vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.80+0.34vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.04vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.74-1.55vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.91-1.15vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72-1.87vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.10-1.53vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.17-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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3.34Villanova University1.800.2%1st Place
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2.96Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.3%1st Place
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3.45Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.85Monmouth University0.910.1%1st Place
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5.13Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.47Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.45Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 17.9% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 19.1% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Christian Geary | 25.3% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| John Marzulli | 18.1% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Lojek | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 7.1% |
| Jason Sinclair | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 11.7% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 39.7% |
| Charles Herlihy | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.