← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College1.73+2.35vs Predicted
-
3Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-0.04vs Predicted
-
4Villanova University1.80-0.68vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.72+0.19vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University0.91-1.14vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University1.74-3.61vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-0.10-1.55vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University-0.17-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
-
2.96Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
-
3.32Villanova University1.800.2%1st Place
-
5.19Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
-
4.86Monmouth University0.910.1%1st Place
-
3.39Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
-
6.45Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
-
6.46Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 18.4% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Christian Geary | 24.1% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sayre | 20.1% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Jason Sinclair | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 11.2% |
| Christopher Lojek | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% |
| John Marzulli | 18.4% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 25.0% | 39.5% |
| Charles Herlihy | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 25.4% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.