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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ocean County College1.73+1.35vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.74+0.44vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.91+0.80vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.01vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.10+0.45vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72-1.86vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.80-4.63vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.17-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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3.44Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.8Monmouth University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.99Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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6.45Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.14Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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3.37Villanova University1.800.2%1st Place
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6.46Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 19.5% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| John Marzulli | 18.0% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Lojek | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 7.7% |
| Christian Geary | 23.1% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 24.1% | 39.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 11.5% |
| Andrew Sayre | 19.8% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Charles Herlihy | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 23.6% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.