← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College1.73+2.10vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.74+1.13vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University0.91+1.46vs Predicted
-
4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.22vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.72-0.18vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-0.10-1.12vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University1.24-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
-
3.13Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
-
4.46Monmouth University0.910.1%1st Place
-
2.78Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.3%1st Place
-
4.82Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
-
5.88Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
-
3.82Villanova University1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 23.4% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| John Marzulli | 19.1% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Lojek | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 13.6% |
| Christian Geary | 26.8% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Jason Sinclair | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 25.4% | 19.2% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 55.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.