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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.13+4.39vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+3.20vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.45+1.21vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86-0.59vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97+0.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52+0.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-1.57vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Fordham University1.139.4%1st Place
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5.2George Washington University0.939.4%1st Place
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4.21College of Charleston1.4515.0%1st Place
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3.41Georgetown University1.8623.4%1st Place
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5.01Old Dominion University0.9710.1%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Naval Academy0.525.9%1st Place
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5.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.8%1st Place
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5.58St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.8%1st Place
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4.75University of Pennsylvania1.1612.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Elizabeth Cutler | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% |
Avery Canavan | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% |
Grace Squires | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
Kelly Bates | 23.4% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
Gianna Dewey | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 22.4% |
Lily Flack | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.8% |
Adra Ivancich | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.