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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College1.73+2.14vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.74+1.11vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.24+0.94vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.91+0.49vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.22vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.10-0.11vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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3.11Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
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3.94Villanova University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.49Monmouth University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.78Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.3%1st Place
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5.89Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.64Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 21.7% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| John Marzulli | 19.9% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Celone | 12.0% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Christopher Lojek | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 14.7% |
| Christian Geary | 26.3% | 24.6% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 54.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 26.2% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.