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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.11+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.11+3.66vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.06+2.91vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.62+0.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+2.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91+4.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92-1.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-0.15vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.25-2.39vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.40-3.74vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.04-0.24vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.64-3.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08-5.54vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95-3.10vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.53-6.75vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-0.83-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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5.91Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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4.29Dartmouth College3.620.2%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.0%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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8.26Brown University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.76University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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11.0Yale University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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12.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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16.27Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo McClatchy | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 18.2% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Pelleteri | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Chronert | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Haley Powell | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cotta | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Brent Lunghino | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ann Sager | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 23.8% | 7.0% |
| Nathan Stevens | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Chris Grabe | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 26.5% | 7.5% |
| Colin Silveno | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 2.6% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.