Race 1A

oyster-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexander Gonzalez 24.4% 19.7% 18.4% 13.8% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Peter Lobaugh 8.8% 9.2% 10.1% 11.5% 10.7% 14.3% 14.7% 14.4% 6.2%
Tyler Brown 4.4% 5.6% 6.0% 6.4% 8.9% 10.4% 14.2% 23.9% 20.0%
Peter Barnard 18.7% 20.1% 16.8% 14.8% 12.3% 8.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7%
Cole Woodworth 9.2% 10.7% 10.8% 12.2% 11.8% 14.4% 14.4% 10.9% 5.7%
Landon Cormie 11.8% 12.4% 13.6% 13.5% 13.5% 13.0% 12.0% 7.5% 2.6%
Jonathan Weed 9.9% 10.8% 9.8% 11.8% 14.4% 13.7% 12.8% 12.2% 4.5%
Tanner Kelly 10.5% 9.4% 11.8% 12.8% 14.3% 13.2% 13.1% 10.1% 4.8%
Eva Wieting 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 4.2% 5.0% 8.9% 16.6% 55.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.