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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+3.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+1.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.52+2.91vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.56vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+0.17vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.23vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-2.98vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22College of Charleston1.4515.1%1st Place
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3.5Georgetown University1.8620.8%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy0.527.0%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.6%1st Place
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5.17George Washington University0.939.2%1st Place
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5.37Fordham University1.138.3%1st Place
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4.77University of Pennsylvania1.1612.9%1st Place
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5.02Old Dominion University0.9710.4%1st Place
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Grace Squires | 15.1% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
Kelly Bates | 20.8% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 22.7% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 15.8% |
Avery Canavan | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
Adra Ivancich | 12.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
Gianna Dewey | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
Lily Flack | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.