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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.52vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+9.38vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+5.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.96vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+1.77vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+1.20vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51+0.78vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90+1.99vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.22+0.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-2.15vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-2.89vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-5.71vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.43vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-4.85vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-6.80vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.74-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.67University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.2Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.99Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.15College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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14.16George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 11.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.