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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+3.90vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.58+2.90vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+1.51vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+2.48vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.94+0.24vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.47-2.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.78-2.26vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.27-4.49vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.03-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9College of Charleston1.608.9%1st Place
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4.9University of Pennsylvania1.589.5%1st Place
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4.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7911.8%1st Place
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6.48Hampton University0.584.5%1st Place
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5.24Fordham University1.947.6%1st Place
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3.1College of Charleston2.4725.4%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Naval Academy1.7810.8%1st Place
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3.51Georgetown University2.2719.4%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University0.032.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jonathan Weed | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
Cole Woodworth | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
Landon Cormie | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
Tyler Brown | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 21.6% |
Peter Lobaugh | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
Alexander Gonzalez | 25.4% | 21.1% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Tanner Kelly | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
Peter Barnard | 19.4% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Eva Wieting | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.