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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.84vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+4.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+8.43vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+4.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.71vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+2.18vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90+1.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.17vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-3.05vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.22-3.04vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-3.71vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.77vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-4.87vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.27-7.20vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.74-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.9Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.43Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.5Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.13Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.8Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.19George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 13.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| Mary Hall | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Corey Hall | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.