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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.04vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+7.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.96vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+1.83vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.31vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+4.48vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.74+5.83vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.24vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-2.79vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.22-3.03vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-2.63vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.45vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.51-7.23vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.27-7.21vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.92-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.83Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.48Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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13.83George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.9University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.21Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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10.37Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.79Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.27Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 43.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Mary Hall | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Haley Powell | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.