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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+3.28vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.97+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.69vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86-0.59vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+0.25vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.09vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.46vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28College of Charleston1.4514.6%1st Place
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4.99Old Dominion University0.9710.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Pennsylvania1.1612.4%1st Place
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3.41Georgetown University1.8621.5%1st Place
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5.25George Washington University0.939.2%1st Place
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5.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.7%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy0.527.6%1st Place
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5.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.2%1st Place
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5.46Fordham University1.138.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Grace Squires | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
Gianna Dewey | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
Kelly Bates | 21.5% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Avery Canavan | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
Lily Flack | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 21.5% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.3% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.