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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+5.97vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+3.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+3.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.92vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-1.19vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.32vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.74+4.13vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-3.02vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-1.64vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-5.97vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-2.35vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-4.78vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-6.88vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.92-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.77Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.41University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.14College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.81Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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14.13George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.98Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.03Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.65Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Mary Hall | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Corey Hall | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 40.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Haley Powell | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.