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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.58+3.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+2.84vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+1.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.27-0.46vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.58+1.39vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-1.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.47-3.83vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.94-2.88vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.03-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of Pennsylvania1.589.8%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Naval Academy1.7810.2%1st Place
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4.9College of Charleston1.609.3%1st Place
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3.54Georgetown University2.2719.7%1st Place
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6.39Hampton University0.584.8%1st Place
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4.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7913.9%1st Place
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3.17College of Charleston2.4722.4%1st Place
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5.12Fordham University1.948.1%1st Place
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7.69George Washington University0.032.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Weed | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 4.2% |
| Peter Barnard | 19.7% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 23.9% | 21.6% |
| Landon Cormie | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 22.4% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
| Eva Wieting | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.