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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+5.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.89vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+3.01vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+3.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+3.31vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.82vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.27+0.57vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-1.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.17vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.90-0.65vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-3.32vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.74vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.74+0.21vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-4.84vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-4.43vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.86-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.57Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.21Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.35Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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14.21George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.16Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.57Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Corey Hall | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 5.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 45.5% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.