Race 4A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Aubin Hattendorf 6.8% 8.6% 6.8% 9.1% 10.0% 11.2% 12.0% 15.1% 20.5%
Gianna Dewey 10.2% 10.4% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 13.2% 11.9% 11.2% 8.9%
Kelly Bates 20.0% 18.1% 17.3% 14.3% 10.7% 8.1% 6.2% 3.4% 1.9%
Grace Squires 14.9% 13.1% 13.6% 12.8% 13.2% 10.8% 10.1% 7.1% 4.5%
Avery Canavan 10.0% 10.4% 10.9% 11.1% 11.2% 11.1% 11.6% 11.9% 11.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 9.3% 9.2% 10.3% 9.8% 10.1% 11.9% 11.6% 12.9% 14.9%
Cho-Cho Williams 8.2% 8.4% 8.5% 9.2% 11.1% 10.9% 11.9% 15.8% 16.0%
Adra Ivancich 12.4% 12.0% 12.4% 11.5% 12.3% 11.4% 10.8% 9.5% 7.6%
Lily Flack 8.2% 10.0% 9.1% 10.3% 10.3% 11.2% 14.0% 13.1% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.