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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+10.15vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+6.88vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+4.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+4.10vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+0.34vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.02vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.90-0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-1.63vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.51-5.12vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.48-5.97vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.74-0.97vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.92-5.78vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.15Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.01Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.1Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.94University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.34Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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14.03George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.84Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
| Corey Hall | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 43.9% |
| Haley Powell | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.