Race 4A

oyster-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Lobaugh 9.2% 9.8% 9.9% 10.9% 12.6% 13.1% 15.3% 12.8% 6.3%
Alexander Gonzalez 22.6% 21.6% 17.0% 14.6% 11.5% 6.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Tyler Brown 5.0% 5.2% 5.8% 7.0% 9.0% 10.7% 14.4% 23.8% 18.9%
Peter Barnard 18.8% 16.4% 16.8% 15.8% 12.2% 10.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.6%
Jonathan Weed 10.4% 9.0% 11.7% 12.7% 12.2% 14.9% 13.5% 11.2% 4.4%
Tanner Kelly 10.8% 11.6% 13.1% 11.6% 12.2% 12.8% 12.1% 11.7% 4.2%
Landon Cormie 12.0% 12.7% 12.6% 13.2% 13.8% 12.6% 11.8% 8.6% 2.8%
Cole Woodworth 9.5% 10.8% 11.1% 10.2% 12.7% 13.4% 14.3% 12.9% 5.1%
Eva Wieting 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 3.8% 3.8% 5.8% 8.1% 14.6% 57.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.