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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27+4.80vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+5.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+2.11vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29+0.55vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.34vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.90+0.08vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58+0.57vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.92-1.86vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-4.82vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.51-6.12vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-6.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.71-8.96vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.74-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.81Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.8Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.55University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.08Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.57Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.04Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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14.16George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mary Hall | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 13.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Corey Hall | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.