Race 5A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Bates 21.6% 18.0% 16.2% 13.3% 11.7% 9.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.6%
Adra Ivancich 11.1% 12.3% 11.5% 13.5% 11.6% 11.6% 11.1% 9.5% 8.0%
Lily Flack 9.6% 9.9% 10.1% 9.2% 10.5% 11.6% 11.8% 12.3% 15.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.8% 8.9% 10.3% 10.9% 10.4% 11.1% 12.3% 14.3% 13.0%
Gianna Dewey 9.7% 10.8% 11.1% 11.6% 12.6% 11.8% 12.2% 11.0% 9.4%
Grace Squires 14.1% 14.6% 13.4% 13.4% 11.2% 10.7% 9.8% 8.2% 4.5%
Avery Canavan 9.3% 10.3% 9.7% 10.8% 12.0% 11.9% 12.4% 11.9% 11.6%
Cho-Cho Williams 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% 9.5% 10.1% 12.1% 11.8% 14.6% 16.4%
Aubin Hattendorf 7.6% 6.7% 8.9% 8.0% 10.0% 10.0% 13.5% 14.6% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.