Race 5A

oyster-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Brown 5.1% 4.9% 6.1% 7.0% 8.8% 11.1% 14.9% 22.2% 19.9%
Landon Cormie 10.8% 15.3% 12.4% 12.9% 13.0% 12.9% 11.6% 8.6% 2.6%
Peter Lobaugh 9.2% 9.1% 9.3% 10.9% 11.8% 14.1% 14.9% 13.5% 7.1%
Cole Woodworth 9.0% 10.5% 10.7% 12.0% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 12.3% 5.5%
Alexander Gonzalez 24.1% 20.0% 17.0% 13.9% 10.8% 7.4% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Tanner Kelly 10.5% 11.3% 12.8% 13.1% 13.6% 13.1% 11.7% 9.6% 4.4%
Peter Barnard 20.0% 17.5% 18.3% 13.8% 12.8% 8.7% 5.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Jonathan Weed 9.5% 9.2% 10.7% 12.2% 11.2% 12.8% 15.1% 12.7% 6.7%
Eva Wieting 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 4.9% 6.6% 8.8% 16.2% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.