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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.83vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+4.90vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.70vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+4.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.85vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86+3.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.27vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-4.61vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.51-4.14vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-2.67vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.74+0.24vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-4.78vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.22-7.00vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.58-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.9Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.73University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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14.24George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 45.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.