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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.89vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.68vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.94vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+6.24vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+2.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.95vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.22+0.75vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.32vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.00vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-3.85vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-1.63vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.51-5.10vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.90-3.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.74-8.10vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-4.50vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.74-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.68Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.75College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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14.12George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Haley Powell | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Corey Hall | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.1% |
| Mary Hall | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.