← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+3.52vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.94+3.19vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.60+1.95vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.58+2.37vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.47-1.81vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.78-1.24vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.27-3.59vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.58-3.02vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University0.03-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7911.2%1st Place
-
5.19Fordham University1.947.8%1st Place
-
4.95College of Charleston1.608.9%1st Place
-
6.37Hampton University0.584.0%1st Place
-
3.19College of Charleston2.4723.6%1st Place
-
4.76U. S. Naval Academy1.7810.3%1st Place
-
3.41Georgetown University2.2721.6%1st Place
-
4.98University of Pennsylvania1.5810.5%1st Place
-
7.62George Washington University0.032.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Landon Cormie | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
Peter Lobaugh | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 6.7% |
Jonathan Weed | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
Tyler Brown | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 23.3% | 20.6% |
Alexander Gonzalez | 23.6% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Tanner Kelly | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
Peter Barnard | 21.6% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Cole Woodworth | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 5.0% |
Eva Wieting | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.