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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+5.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+7.47vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+5.03vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+3.28vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-1.85vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+1.36vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.51-2.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-2.96vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.92vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-4.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.96vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.66vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.74-1.77vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.71-9.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.03Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.47Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.03Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.28Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.99College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.36Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.8University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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14.23George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.14Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Corey Hall | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 6.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 44.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.