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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+3.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.52+3.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.97+2.00vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+1.22vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86-1.59vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.59vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13-1.58vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33College of Charleston1.4514.5%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy0.526.9%1st Place
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5.0Old Dominion University0.9710.5%1st Place
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5.22George Washington University0.938.9%1st Place
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3.41Georgetown University1.8621.3%1st Place
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5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland0.619.0%1st Place
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5.42Fordham University1.137.8%1st Place
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5.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.679.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Pennsylvania1.1612.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Grace Squires | 14.5% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 21.5% |
Gianna Dewey | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
Avery Canavan | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% |
Kelly Bates | 21.3% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
Lily Flack | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.2% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.4% |
Adra Ivancich | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.