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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.58+2.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.27+0.49vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.94+1.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.47-1.88vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.58+0.48vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-2.45vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.60-3.14vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.03-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75U. S. Naval Academy1.7810.3%1st Place
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4.98University of Pennsylvania1.588.3%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University2.2719.4%1st Place
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5.15Fordham University1.948.8%1st Place
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3.12College of Charleston2.4724.8%1st Place
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6.48Hampton University0.583.8%1st Place
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4.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7912.6%1st Place
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4.86College of Charleston1.6010.0%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University0.031.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Tanner Kelly | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
Cole Woodworth | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
Peter Barnard | 19.4% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
Peter Lobaugh | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 7.3% |
Alexander Gonzalez | 24.8% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Tyler Brown | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 26.2% | 19.9% |
Landon Cormie | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
Jonathan Weed | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
Eva Wieting | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.