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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.39vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+7.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.38vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+5.53vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+5.40vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.93+2.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-3.27vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.08-0.42vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-0.34vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.97-2.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.87vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-4.26vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.28vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-6.23vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.20-8.09vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.24-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.38Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.53University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.56Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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4.73Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.66Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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14.7George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.9% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.4% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Liana Folger | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.