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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+3.24vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.97+2.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+0.52vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+1.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.52+1.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.35vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24College of Charleston1.4514.5%1st Place
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4.98Old Dominion University0.9711.8%1st Place
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3.52Georgetown University1.8621.1%1st Place
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5.21George Washington University0.939.7%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Naval Academy0.526.5%1st Place
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5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.4%1st Place
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5.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.6%1st Place
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4.65University of Pennsylvania1.1611.3%1st Place
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5.34Fordham University1.139.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Grace Squires | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
Gianna Dewey | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
Kelly Bates | 21.1% | 19.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
Avery Canavan | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 21.1% |
Lily Flack | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 18.4% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.