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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.39vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+8.53vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+4.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+3.92vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.93+3.17vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-0.19vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-0.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.20vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-4.05vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.08-5.45vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.80-5.54vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-6.17vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.24-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.53Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.45Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.61Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.28Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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9.83Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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14.69George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.3% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Sky Adams | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.