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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+4.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.45+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.71vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86-0.55vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97-0.02vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93-1.85vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.13-2.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.1%1st Place
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4.28College of Charleston1.4514.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Pennsylvania1.1611.9%1st Place
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3.45Georgetown University1.8621.9%1st Place
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4.98Old Dominion University0.9710.8%1st Place
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5.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.618.3%1st Place
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5.15George Washington University0.939.8%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University1.138.2%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy0.526.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cho-Cho Williams | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
Grace Squires | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
Kelly Bates | 21.9% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
Gianna Dewey | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% |
Lily Flack | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% |
Avery Canavan | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.6% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.