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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.47+2.13vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.27+1.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60+0.93vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.94+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.04vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-2.57vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.03-0.34vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.58-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13College of Charleston2.4725.5%1st Place
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3.53Georgetown University2.2718.4%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Naval Academy1.789.5%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston1.608.8%1st Place
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5.13Fordham University1.948.6%1st Place
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4.96University of Pennsylvania1.589.3%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7913.6%1st Place
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7.66George Washington University0.031.6%1st Place
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6.35Hampton University0.584.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Alexander Gonzalez | 25.5% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Peter Barnard | 18.4% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Tanner Kelly | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
Jonathan Weed | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
Peter Lobaugh | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
Cole Woodworth | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
Landon Cormie | 13.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
Eva Wieting | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 54.8% |
Tyler Brown | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 23.6% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.