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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+3.27vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+3.07vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.52+2.00vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.30vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-1.62vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86-4.57vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27College of Charleston1.4514.5%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University0.939.8%1st Place
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5.46Fordham University1.138.4%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy0.526.6%1st Place
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5.03Old Dominion University0.979.8%1st Place
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4.7University of Pennsylvania1.1612.0%1st Place
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5.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.619.2%1st Place
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3.43Georgetown University1.8622.2%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.677.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Grace Squires | 14.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
Avery Canavan | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 21.3% |
Gianna Dewey | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% |
Adra Ivancich | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
Lily Flack | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 14.4% |
Kelly Bates | 22.2% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.