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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+6.29vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.90vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.33vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.93+1.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+1.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+1.09vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-1.35vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.51-0.24vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.33-4.58vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.73-3.08vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.24+0.74vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.10-10.29vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.97-7.13vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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7.9College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.5University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.21Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.42Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.92Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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14.74George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.71Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 7.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 54.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Liana Folger | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.