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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.47+1.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.58+0.55vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-0.82vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.03+0.20vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.60-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25College of Charleston2.4736.0%1st Place
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3.37U. S. Naval Academy1.7816.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Pennsylvania1.5813.5%1st Place
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3.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7916.6%1st Place
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5.2George Washington University0.033.7%1st Place
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3.44College of Charleston1.6014.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 36.0% | 27.3% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 16.0% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 7.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 13.5% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 22.1% | 11.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 16.6% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 5.9% |
| Eva Wieting | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 65.6% |
| Jonathan Weed | 14.1% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 20.9% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.