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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.50vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.93+5.96vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+3.96vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.33+2.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51+3.63vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+1.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.98+0.01vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-0.37vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.08-2.44vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-2.61vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.80-3.38vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.97-5.08vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.10-10.25vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.24-1.30vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.25Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.63Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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9.39Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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4.75Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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14.7George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 5.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 52.8% |
| Liana Folger | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.